Ten days after Chinese startup DeepSeek shocked the AI world with its ultra-efficient R1 model, OpenAI has countered with o3-mini – a faster, cheaper version of its most powerful LLM.
Translation: the AI arms race just entered a new era, and yes, it’ll impact PMMs and compete pros.
Let’s break it down 👇
Unraveling the DeepSeek Timeline
- January 20: DeepSeek launches R1, delivering performance on par with OpenAI’s leading models but at a fraction of the training and usage costs.
- January 27: DeepSeek surpasses ChatGPT on the App Store, wiping billions from U.S. tech stocks. Nvidia plunges 17% as investors question the need for expensive chips.
-
January 29: OpenAI accuses DeepSeek of using its proprietary models to train theirs.
- January 29: Anthropic’s CEO pens an essay with language eerily reminiscent of 1950s Cold War rhetoric: “AI companies in democracies must have better models than those in China if we want to prevail.“
- January 31: OpenAI releases o3-mini, bringing advanced capabilities to all ChatGPT users, plus a cheaper API fee.
Who Really Wins Here?
While DeepSeek, OpenAI, and others battle over AI efficiency – and Wall Street reels – let’s ask: who comes out ahead in all this?
Among tech giants, Apple stands out. Here’s why:
- As DeepSeek forces down the cost of AI, Apple can license or develop competitive models without the massive infrastructure investments their competitors have made.
- Success in consumer AI won’t come from raw model performance – it’ll come from creating amazing user experiences. That’s Apple’s bread and butter, which might explain why its stock rose last week while other tech companies stumbled.
And that’s not just true for giants like Apple. Lean startups building sophisticated AI products at a fraction of previous costs are also clear-cut winners here.
Why Should You Care?
If you’re a product marketer in tech, this cuts both ways:
The good news? As big tech races to the bottom on API pricing, your AI features and products should become a lot cheaper to build and maintain.
The bad news? Your competitors get the same deal. Expect competition in every niche to intensify and standing out to get even more difficult.
Time to dial in on differentiation 😉
📌 Go Deeper: Catch Adam and Hunter’s full take on the DeepSeek drama in last week’s Coffee & Compete podcast.